23Jul-Xtra-UnSpun by Popi

I want to break the ice before I get into this subject. It’s a subject that should be near and dear to all citizens of the USA. I have done what I can to assure this report remains as unbiased as I can make it. Proviso: My own opinion is that there are no major news outlets willing to chase down the Trump angle that voter fraud is widespread – not yet. That’s why you will see no declaration in this report that there is widespread voter fraud. Verifiable data does not exist for major outlets to jump ship – again, not yet. NOTE: I will not use far left or right sources here. Otherwise I could use this subject for a week’s worth of posts and still never come to a viable conclusion.

Do I think that the issue is being properly reported? School is still out for me. There is no way in hell anyone is ever going to prove to me that Joe Biden overcame that huge deficit after midnight legally. But, the story has been so sensationalized by both sides of the aisle that pulling the truth from all that chaff is no simple task. And it starts with, ‘what sources do we believe’? For the purposes of this report, I can only rely on the same sources I rely on for my other daily reports. For me, this report is inadequate but that’s more about my opinion than anything I can prove. I will note that Gemini’s report did in fact show there was some evidence of voter fraud. That’s generally more of an admission than you’ll get from the MSM. – Popi

23Jul-Xtra-UnSpun by Popi

23Jul-Xtra-UnSpun by Popi – Nonpartisan election authorities, academic researchers, and law enforcement agencies across the political spectrum continuously monitor, audit, and investigate voting systems to maintain security. This report would have us believe that it isn’t really the wild west out there. In other words, as much as some media outlets and some pundits will insist it is widespread, voter fraud, as near as I can determine with the tools available to me, is NOT that wide spread.

Gemini’s conclusion after several re-promptings to assure there was no bias in this report:

Factual reporting on election fraud in the United States, spanning past history through current audits, consistently points to one central conclusion: while isolated instances of voter fraud and administrative errors do occur, widespread or outcome-altering election fraud is extraordinarily rare. _{note: this does not state whether or not 2020 was one such year.}

23Jul-Xtra-UnSpun by Popi

The Broader Context: Historic & Overall Findings

• Infinitesimal Fraud Rates: Comprehensive academic studies and government audits find that voter fraud rates in the U.S. generally hover between $0.00003% and $0.0009%. For instance, a long-term analysis by the Brookings Institution calculated an average mail-in voting fraud rate of 0.000043% across multiple federal elections—equivalent to about four cases out of every 10 million mail-in votes cast.
• Isolated Cases: Organizations that track proven cases of election fraud (such as the Heritage Foundation’s database) document roughly 1,500 total proven instances across the entire country over several decades. These typically involve individual actions—such as duplicate voting across state lines, casting a ballot for a deceased relative, or illegal registration—which are routinely caught by state cross-checks and prosecuted.

Key Areas of Recent Reporting & Audits

1. Mail-In & Absentee Ballots

• Verification Controls: Mail-in voting relies on multiple layers of security, including signature-matching software, barcoded return envelopes, and secure drop boxes monitored by election workers.
• Audit Findings: Bipartisan state audits routinely confirm that mail-in voting systems operate with high fidelity. Where fraudulent attempts occur—such as individuals requesting absentee ballots under false names—state internal checks regularly detect the anomaly before ballots affect election outcomes.

2. Voting Equipment & Security Audits

• Paper Trails & Audits: Over 95% of votes cast in U.S. federal elections now yield a direct paper record or paper audit trail.
• Machine Integrity: Independent stress tests, post-election hand-count audits, and assessments by the Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency (CISA) consistently confirm that voting machines are not connected to the internet during tallying. Claims alleging widespread machine manipulation or vote-switching have failed to produce verifiable evidence in court or during forensic audits.

3. Noncitizen Registration & Voter Rolls

• Data Discrepancies: Claims regarding noncitizen voting frequently cite unverified or outdated administrative databases (such as DMV records or federal SAVE databases). Because these databases often fail to reflect naturalized citizens, initial flags usually collapse upon verification.
• State Audits: Statewide reviews in places like Iowa, Ohio, and North Carolina demonstrate that while a tiny fraction of noncitizens may inadvertently appear on voter rolls, actual noncitizen ballot casting is essentially non-existent or limited to single-digit instances across millions of votes cast.

4. Foreign Intelligence & Data Claims

• Public Voter Data vs. Machine Integrity: Intelligence assessments confirm that while foreign adversaries (such as China or Russia) frequently attempt cyber reconnaissance or acquire publicly available voter registration lists, there is no evidence that any foreign entity has ever successfully altered ballot tallies or compromised vote-counting infrastructure.

Summary Table: Myths vs. Verified Facts

Bottom Line: U.S. election infrastructure relies on decentralized, redundant security measures—combining paper records, bipartisan precinct workers, pre-election logic testing, and post-election audits. These safeguards make large-scale voter fraud practically impossible to commit without swift detection.

You have to admit. That’s a pretty strong argument and it’s impossible to refute. I’ve tried.

Furthermore -23Jul-Xtra-UnSpun by Popi

We’ve all probably heard at least one reference to voter fraud being a much larger problem than anyone other than far right zealots was reporting. You’ve probably heard or seen the “evidentiary” claim that if only 133 million voted and Trump got 74 million of them, so how did Joe come up with 81 million votes? Well, that’s a good place to start debunking the claims of the far right.

The report claiming there were only 133 million registered voters in the U.S. in 2020 originated from viral social media posts in late December 2020.

The exact origin traces back to a widely reshared tweet and subsequent blog posts (notably on sites like The Gateway Pundit) that tried to present a “simple math” argument questioning the election results:

“Donald Trump got 74 million votes and there are 133 million registered voters in the USA. If every single registered voter went out and voted there would only be 59 million votes left for Biden. How did he get 81 million votes?”

Where Did the Flawed Math Come From?

Fact-checkers from the Associated Press, Reuters, and FactCheck.org investigated the origin and found that the 133 million figure came from confusing two completely different metrics:

1. The Turnout Percentage Error: In December 2020, preliminary reports noted that national voter turnout was roughly 66.2%. However, that 66.2% was a measure of the total Voting-Eligible Population (VEP)—which includes all ~239 million eligible adult U.S. citizens, whether registered or not.
2. The Math Calculation: Online posts improperly took that 66.2% turnout figure and applied it directly to an inaccurate or incomplete voter registration snapshot (~213 million). Other viral iterations simply fabricated the 133 million baseline entirely, claiming it was the maximum number of people registered.

Why the 133 Million Claim Was Instantly Disproven

• Historical Comparison: In the 2016 election, 136.6 million people cast votes—meaning a total of 133 million registered voters in 2020 would have meant fewer registered voters than actual votes cast four years prior.
• Official Federal Records: The Election Assistance Commission (EAC) recorded 211 million registered voters as far back as 2018, which climbed to over 209–214 million by November 2020 as official Secretary of State rolls were aggregated nationwide.

Because Donald Trump received ~74.2 million votes and Joe Biden received ~81.3 million votes, the total (~155.5 million votes) fell well within the 209+ million total registered voters, representing the reported ~75% turnout rate of registered voters.

So, WTF, over? – 23Jul-Xtra-UnSpun by Popi

Not everyone will be completely satisfied with this report’s results. Personally, I believe the issue is far more severe than what I can prove. That’s a “gut” belief. No facts fully support my belief. And I’m sure there will be those on the other side of the aisle who think the report still didn’t completely hit the mark for them. How do we navigate this BS?

When assessing official administrative records (like the Election Assistance Commission’s 209 million registered voters) alongside viral online claims (like the 133 million figure), the logical conclusion is that the 133 million figure is a mathematically flawed, internet-generated rumor, while the official data reflects basic, historical realities.

Here is the logical breakdown of why that conclusion holds up:

1. The Baseline Test: Simple Historical Math

The most direct way to evaluate the 133 million claim is to compare it against previous, uncontested elections:

• In the 2016 Presidential Election, 136.6 million Americans cast votes.
• For the claim of 133 million registered voters in 2020 to be true, the U.S. would have had to lose millions of registered voters between 2016 and 2020, despite the U.S. adult population growing by millions over that same four-year span.
• Conclusion: A total registration count of 133 million in 2020 is logically impossible unless millions of people were erased from state rolls nationwide prior to the election, for which there is zero administrative record.

2. Source & Methodology Analysis

When evaluating conflicting reports, where the numbers come from matters just as much as what they say:

+-------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
|                        OFFICIAL ELECTION DATA (EAC)                           |
|  - Aggregated directly from official voter rolls across all 50 states.       |
|  - Result: ~209 MILLION active registered voters in 2020.                     |
+-------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
                                      VS.
+-------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
|                       THE "133 MILLION" VIRAL REPORT                          |
|  - Originated from anonymous social media posts in December 2020.             |
|  - Applied a percentage (66.2% turnout) to the wrong base number.             |
|  - Result: A mathematically fabricated figure that miscalculated total lists. |
+-------------------------------------------------------------------------------+

The 133 million claim was created by taking a turnout percentage (about 66%, which measured the turnout of all eligible citizens, whether registered or not) and improperly multiplying it against an incomplete baseline number. It confused “percentage of eligible citizens who voted” with “percentage of registered voters”.

3. The Logical Takeaway

When two reports conflict this sharply:

1. One is based on verifiable, hard records: 50 individual state secretaries of state (representing both political parties) publicly log every voter added or removed from state databases, yielding ~209 million registered individuals.
2. One is based on a viral miscalculation: The 133 million figure was never published by the Census Bureau, the Federal Election Commission, or any state election official. It was a bad equation that circulated on social media blogs.

23Jul-Xtra-UnSpun by Popi

Summary: The logical conclusion is that the ~155.5 million total votes cast in 2020 fell cleanly within the official pool of ~209 million registered voters. The 133 million claim is demonstrably false because it relies on a math error rather than actual state registration data.

Whether or not I like that conclusion has no relevance to reality. The available data proves otherwise.

As always – be well, be alert, be informed. Popi sends…

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23Jul-UnSpun by Popi